Decarbonising UK Heating

Modelling the impact on the electricity grid in 2050
Modelling breakdown

MODEL INPUTS
Installed generation capacity

Offshore wind (GW)

Onshore wind (GW)

Solar (GW)

Nuclear (GW)

Heating demand

Domestic heat demand (TWh)

Heat Pump / Hydrogen Mix

Heat Pump efficiency (SPF)


YEARLY OVERVIEW
Average daily electricity supply and demand in 2050.



DAILY BREAKDOWN


RESULTS
Average daily deficit and number of hours with insufficient supply
Without storageWith daily and seasonal H2 storage030006000900012000Mean deficit (MW)05101520Mean number of shortfall hours

Analysis of data from Gridwatch, Sheffield Solar, When2Heat, and MERRA.

Built by Ben James. Methodology write-up: here.